Prediction Markets and AI-Based Forecasting
Develop and refine prediction markets augmented by AI to improve future forecasting accuracy and better inform policy decisions.
Resources (7)
Astral Codex Ten
Whitepapers and Essays
Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models
Research and Reviews
R&D Gaps (1)
Current economic models are often too simplistic to capture the intricate dynamics of our global economy, limiting effective policy-making and forecasting. Experimentation with innovative economic models—such as those incorporating universal basic income or alternative market systems—is rare, leavin...